ERisks economic capital experts offer the following guidelines to help you select an effective economic capital analysis solution:
Ensure full coverage of all risk types
When stand-alone risks (that are not perfectly correlated) are combined, there is a diversification effect that reduces the total risk to less than the sum of the stand-alone risks. The diversification benefit
associated with each risk is related to the size and correlation of each risk relative to all the other risks. Therefore, it is critical that your solution measure ALL risks in order to get any of them right.
For example, ERisk's Abacus solution covers all risks in the following taxonomy:
Make certain that risks are measured on a consistent basis
A key requirement of an economic capital framework is that risk be measured on a consistent basis. The banking industry has standardized on the following approach:
- Distribution of intrinsic value
- One-year time horizon
- Forward-looking, not historical volatility
- Full distribution, not just standard deviation.
Check out this article for more detailed information:
Verify theres a robust methodology for linking risk to capital
Economic Capital is the amount of capital required to ensure that a banks probability of default is in line with its desired financial strength. The cornerstone of any Economic Capital framework is the methodology for linking risk to required capital. ERisks
approach, now the industry standard in the banking industry, provides a robust way to link risk to capital. There are two inputs to ERisks Economic Capital calculation: the one-year value distribution, and a solvency standard equal to the banks acceptable probability
of default. Economic Capital is the difference between the mean of the distribution and the tail of the distribution corresponding to the solvency standard. This is illustrated in the picture below.
More detailed information can be found in these articles on Economic Capital and RAROC:
Common pitfalls in implementing an Economic Capital System
Having worked with many clients in implementing Economic Capital systems, we have collected a list of common pitfalls. We hope this will either help you to avoid these in implementing an approach yourself, or (even better) give you reasons why Abacus is the right choice for your bank.
- Methodology shortcomings
- Using standard deviation rather than confidence interval
- Measuring accounting earnings rather than value
- Employing top-down historical volatility rather than bottom-up
prospective volatility
- Using stand-alone, rather than
contributory volatility
- Implementation problems with home grown solutions
- Underestimating the magnitude of the effort it takes
years of effort from multi-disciplinary experts to design
and implement a robust framework
- Because projects take a long time and
there are no intermediate results, there is significant risk
that they may be cancelled prior to completion
- Implementation problems with vended solutions
- Most vended solutions we have seen try to combine multiple
risk-specific transaction-level systems. These require massive
data warehouses and systems integration efforts they can
take years to implement and frequently fail.
- Custom consulting projects frequently
create spreadsheet solutions that are left on the shelf due to
insufficient/inadequate internal resources to carry forward
- Lack of results-orientation
- Inertia due to lack of data / parameters something is
better than nothing
- Lack of buy-in lots of numbers but no
resulting actions
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